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A Four Scenario Framework for Tourism in New Zealand in 2050
| Scarcity ← Resources → Plenty | ||
|
Reciprocity ↑ Cohesion ↓ |
Narrative: ECO Paradise |
Narrative: Rise of Middle Classes |
|
Narrative: Reversal of Fortunes |
Narrative: Sclerosis of Demography |
|
[Cohesion reflects the Scenario's social and political framework, Resources reflect the Scenario's resource dependencies]
[Societal, Individual and Resource Behaviours are proposed for the World, NZ & Tourism in NZ]